Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Grambling

53.3%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -114

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 73

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricAlabama State

41.4MMH Power Index38

100.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

100.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

0.3Net Efficiency-5.7

-5.7Strength of Schedule-6.2

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

69.9Tempo71.9

49.2%Effective FG%48.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

42.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.2Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Grambling

84—87

Alabama State

Alabama State by 3 • 81.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATAlabama State

27-61FG30-75

44.0%FG%40.0%

7-223PT11-33

32.0%3PT%33.0%

23-28FT16-21

82.0%FT%76.0%

40Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists18

19Turnovers15

8Steals11

4Blocks3

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jourdan Smith	Guard	48	6-10	0-0	6-7	11	4	2	2	18
Tra'Michael Moton	Guard	38	5-18	4-12	0-0	1	1	2	0	14
Mikale Stevenson	G	29	3-5	0-1	6-8	4	3	1	0	12
Antwan Burnett	G	39	2-7	0-2	7-9	5	3	0	0	11
Kintavious Dozier	G	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Jimel Cofer Jr.	G	12	2-2	1-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	7
Jonathan Aku	Forward	28	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	2	6
Zahad Munford	Guard	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Malik Lamin	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	40	5-11	0-0	13-14	8	1	2	2	23
Isaiah Range	Guard	44	8-18	5-15	0-0	1	0	0	0	21
Darrell Reed	Forward	18	5-9	0-1	1-3	3	1	1	0	11
CJ Hines	G	34	3-9	2-4	0-0	3	4	2	0	8
Amarr Knox	G	26	3-8	1-1	0-0	1	6	3	0	7
Micah Octave	G	36	2-5	1-3	1-2	5	4	2	0	6
Ubong Okon	C	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	4
Eric Coleman	Forward	15	1-7	1-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Kendal Parker	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Sean Smith	G	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

81.7Possessions81.7

102.8Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

-3.7Net Efficiency3.7

50.0%Effective FG%47.3%

56.5%True Shooting %51.2%

23.1%Turnover Rate18.5%

45.9%Free Throw Rate28.0%

36.1%3-Point Rate44.0%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 81.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.