Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Texas State

73.7%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -280

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreTroy 79

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricTroy

49.4MMH Power Index54.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.3Net Efficiency8.7

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

68.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.7), net efficiency (8.7–4.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–2.0).

Final

Texas State

74—68

Troy

Texas State by 6 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATTroy

25-45FG23-49

56.0%FG%47.0%

7-143PT9-19

50.0%3PT%47.0%

17-20FT13-22

85.0%FT%59.0%

25Rebounds29

4Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists15

20Turnovers19

13Steals13

1Blocks1

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Mason	G	35	9-11	3-3	4-4	5	1	2	0	25
Davion Sykes	G	30	5-11	0-1	3-3	1	4	2	0	13
Joshua O'Garro	G	22	4-5	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	11
Dylan Dawson	Guard	28	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	3	0	8
Christian Turner	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	1	0	6
Coleton Benson	G	21	1-6	1-5	2-2	1	3	1	0	5
Dontae Horne	G	15	0-1	0-0	4-4	2	1	0	0	4
Brandon Love	Forward	21	1-3	0-0	0-1	5	2	2	1	2
Chris Nix	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	26	5-11	3-5	3-5	4	5	2	1	16
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	26	6-13	2-7	0-0	2	2	2	0	14
Christyon Eugene	Guard	34	2-8	1-4	5-6	4	3	2	0	10
Jackson Fields	F	19	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Thomas Dowd	F	23	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	3	0	4
Victor Valdes	F	18	2-5	0-0	0-3	1	1	0	0	4
Randarius Jones	C	12	0-1	0-0	4-6	2	0	1	0	4
Myles Rigsby	G	11	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	3
Theo Seng	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

107.2Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency107.2

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

63.3%Effective FG%56.1%

67.9%True Shooting %57.2%

28.4%Turnover Rate28.2%

44.4%Free Throw Rate44.9%

31.1%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Texas State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.