UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%UC Davis

42.5%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -135

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricLong Beach State

48.4MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

3.5Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.4Tempo72.2

52.3%Effective FG%51.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

UC Davis

88—78

Long Beach State

UC Davis by 10 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATLong Beach State

27-49FG29-64

55.0%FG%45.0%

10-163PT3-16

63.0%3PT%19.0%

24-27FT17-23

89.0%FT%74.0%

25Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds19

16Assists12

14Turnovers13

6Steals9

2Blocks4

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kane Milling	Guard	35	7-9	6-8	4-6	5	3	1	1	24
TY Johnson	Guard	32	4-13	1-2	9-9	4	1	2	0	18
Elijah Pepper	Guard	31	4-5	2-2	7-7	4	4	0	0	17
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	24	3-7	1-4	1-1	2	2	1	0	8
Ade Adebayo	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	18	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Francesco Borra	Forward	18	2-6	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Jac Mani	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Sione Lose	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Connor Sevilla	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	35	8-20	0-5	5-8	1	5	2	0	21
Jadon Jones	G	31	4-10	2-5	3-3	4	1	1	2	13
AJ George	G	32	5-6	1-1	0-0	5	1	3	0	11
Lassina Traore	F	28	4-7	0-0	2-3	15	1	2	0	10
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	29	2-5	0-0	5-7	7	4	1	2	9
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	15	2-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Chayce Polynice	Center	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Messiah Thompson	Guard	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jeffrey Yan	Center	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Amari Stroud	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Varick Lewis	G	4	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isa Silva	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

125.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency125.0

14.2Net Efficiency-14.2

65.3%Effective FG%47.7%

71.2%True Shooting %52.1%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.9%

55.1%Free Throw Rate35.9%

32.7%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.