Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Sacramento State

83.8%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -517

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreIdaho 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho

43MMH Power Index53.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.9Net Efficiency7.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%52.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Sacramento State

72—64

Idaho

Sacramento State by 8 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho

22-50FG24-56

44.0%FG%43.0%

6-223PT10-31

27.0%3PT%32.0%

22-25FT6-6

88.0%FT%100.0%

32Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists14

11Turnovers13

6Steals5

1Blocks2

11Fouls21

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Akol Mawein	Forward	33	7-10	2-3	9-11	3	2	2	0	25
Bailey Nunn	G	28	6-11	2-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	14
Zee Hamoda	G	31	2-7	1-2	3-3	2	3	0	0	8
Austin Patterson	Guard	35	1-6	0-4	5-6	7	3	3	0	7
Jacob Holt	Forward	15	2-2	0-0	3-3	4	1	0	1	7
Bowyn Beatty	F	30	1-5	0-2	2-2	8	0	0	0	4
Alex Kovatchev	G	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Emil Skytt	G	15	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julius Mims	F	36	9-11	0-1	2-2	7	0	2	2	20
Quinn Denker	G	40	5-16	2-4	2-2	2	4	2	0	14
D'Angelo Minnis	Guard	39	3-9	3-8	0-0	1	5	0	0	9
EJ Neal Jr.	G	33	3-9	2-8	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Kyson Rose	Forward	22	3-6	2-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Tyler Linhardt	F	9	1-4	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Terren Frank	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Tre Blassingame	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kristian Gonzalez	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency97.1

97.1Defensive Efficiency109.3

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

50.0%Effective FG%51.8%

58.2%True Shooting %54.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate10.7%

44.0%3-Point Rate55.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.