NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.7%NC State

36.3%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -175

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 78

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScorePittsburgh 75

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricPittsburgh

60.1MMH Power Index50.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.6Defensive Efficiency110.4

9.8Net Efficiency-2.0

6.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

70.2Tempo65.0

55.1%Effective FG%51.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate31.2%

6.9Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–50.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–108.4), defensive efficiency (108.6–110.4), net efficiency (9.8–-2.0).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-6.9–-11.9), offensive rebounding (33.1–28.2).

Final

NC State

73—81

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh by 8 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATPittsburgh

26-56FG32-64

46.0%FG%50.0%

9-233PT8-20

39.0%3PT%40.0%

12-16FT9-12

75.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists16

10Turnovers5

3Steals5

3Blocks3

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	34	9-15	5-10	5-8	7	3	2	0	28
DJ Burns	Forward	25	4-11	0-0	1-2	4	4	0	0	9
Casey Morsell	Guard	33	3-9	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	11	3-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	28	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	7
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	28	1-2	1-2	2-2	9	1	0	1	5
Breon Pass	Guard	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
DJ Horne	Guard	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Ernest Ross	Forward	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Kam Woods	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bub Carrington	Guard	39	8-15	4-9	3-4	5	6	0	0	23
Blake Hinson	Forward	38	8-16	2-6	3-4	3	2	0	0	21
Ishmael Leggett	Guard	27	4-10	0-1	1-1	8	1	1	0	9
Federiko Federiko	F	30	4-6	0-0	0-0	9	3	0	1	8
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	12	3-5	1-3	1-1	1	1	1	1	8
Jaland Lowe	G	36	3-8	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Zack Austin	Forward	18	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

112.8Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency112.8

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

54.5%Effective FG%56.3%

57.4%True Shooting %58.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate7.7%

28.6%Free Throw Rate18.8%

41.1%3-Point Rate31.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Pittsburgh won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.