Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%Morehead State

53.5%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -115

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 75

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricLittle Rock

47.3MMH Power Index44

110.8Offensive Efficiency103.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

0.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.0Strength of Schedule0.5

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.9Tempo68.5

51.3%Effective FG%50.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

0.5Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.8–103.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.2), recent form (3.1–-0.7).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–110.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

69—55

Little Rock

Morehead State by 14 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

25-50FG23-56

50.0%FG%41.0%

9-243PT7-16

38.0%3PT%44.0%

10-13FT2-5

77.0%FT%40.0%

33Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists8

10Turnovers11

8Steals3

4Blocks3

7Fouls9

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Minix	Forward	40	10-16	1-6	5-6	7	0	2	1	26
Drew Thelwell	Guard	39	8-15	3-7	2-2	4	2	2	0	21
Kalil Thomas	Guard	37	4-8	3-6	2-3	4	4	3	0	13
Jordan Lathon	Guard	31	2-5	2-3	0-0	3	3	1	1	6
Eddie Ricks III	F	26	1-6	0-2	1-2	5	3	0	0	3
Dieonte Miles	Forward	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Douglas	G	31	6-14	2-7	0-0	4	1	0	1	14
KK Robinson	G	36	6-16	1-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	13
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	31	3-8	1-1	2-2	1	1	1	1	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	25	3-6	2-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	22	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	3	0	1	0
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Creed Williamson	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

113.5Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency113.5

23.0Net Efficiency-23.0

59.0%Effective FG%47.3%

61.4%True Shooting %47.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

26.0%Free Throw Rate8.9%

48.0%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.20Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.