Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Minnesota

74.2%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -288

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 67

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 74

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricNorthwestern

50.5MMH Power Index55.4

109.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

1.4Net Efficiency1.8

3.2Strength of Schedule5.6

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

63.6Tempo65.6

54.1%Effective FG%51.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

0.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Minnesota

66—90

Northwestern

Northwestern by 24 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATNorthwestern

26-53FG34-58

49.0%FG%59.0%

7-163PT10-18

44.0%3PT%56.0%

7-9FT12-15

78.0%FT%80.0%

27Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists23

10Turnovers1

1Steals6

6Blocks2

13Fouls9

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	36	13-19	1-2	3-3	9	1	0	3	30
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	40	5-9	3-5	1-2	1	10	0	0	14
Braeden Carrington	G	19	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
Pharrel Payne	F	36	1-4	0-0	3-4	6	2	0	2	5
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Parker Fox	Forward	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Cam Christie	Guard	26	0-6	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	38	9-14	3-7	2-2	3	6	0	0	23
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	37	7-14	3-5	6-6	6	4	3	0	23
Ryan Langborg	Guard	33	6-10	3-4	2-2	3	6	2	0	17
Nick Martinelli	F	35	6-9	1-1	1-1	5	2	0	1	14
Blake Preston	Forward	25	4-6	0-0	1-3	4	4	0	0	9
Blake Smith	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Hunger	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Gus Hurlburt	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

107.8Offensive Efficiency147.1

147.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

-39.2Net Efficiency39.2

55.7%Effective FG%67.2%

57.6%True Shooting %69.1%

16.3%Turnover Rate1.6%

17.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

30.2%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.70Assist / Turnover23.00

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.