Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Idaho State

37.9%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -164

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 76

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 75

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Arizona

45.9MMH Power Index36.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

113.4Defensive Efficiency114.8

-2.4Net Efficiency-7.7

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.8

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

67.1Tempo66.6

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-1.6Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Idaho State

68—60

Northern Arizona

Idaho State by 8 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

27-63FG25-53

43.0%FG%47.0%

6-213PT6-17

29.0%3PT%35.0%

8-16FT4-7

50.0%FT%57.0%

37Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists7

7Turnovers12

8Steals6

2Blocks2

8Fouls16

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	34	8-15	2-7	0-1	5	2	2	1	18
Maleek Arington	G	40	7-14	0-1	3-7	1	3	3	0	17
Miguel Tomley	Guard	36	6-16	3-7	2-3	5	2	1	0	17
Kiree Huie	F	26	3-6	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	0	7
Trent Johnson	F	10	2-2	1-1	2-2	2	0	1	1	7
AJ Burgin	Guard	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Griffin	F	35	0-7	0-3	0-1	10	0	0	0	0
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Jackson	G	38	8-12	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	16
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	4-14	3-9	4-5	1	0	3	0	15
Carson Basham	Forward	36	7-11	0-0	0-0	12	2	1	1	14
Diego Campisano	F	24	4-7	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Liam Lloyd	Guard	24	1-5	1-3	0-2	4	1	1	0	3
Oakland Fort	G	36	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	2
Arman Madi	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

106.3Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency106.3

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

47.6%Effective FG%52.8%

48.2%True Shooting %53.3%

10.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

25.4%Free Throw Rate13.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.