Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Arizona State

86.4%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -635

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 71

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreUCLA 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricUCLA

51MMH Power Index63

108.1Offensive Efficiency115.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency106.9

-2.8Net Efficiency9.0

7.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.6Tempo66.5

51.3%Effective FG%53.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate13.4%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

40.2%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-1.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–51.0), offensive efficiency (115.9–108.1), defensive efficiency (106.9–110.9), net efficiency (9.0–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–5.1), free throw rate (40.2–33.8).

Final

Arizona State

47—59

UCLA

UCLA by 12 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATUCLA

18-48FG18-47

38.0%FG%38.0%

6-223PT11-20

27.0%3PT%55.0%

5-14FT12-16

36.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists16

15Turnovers12

5Steals9

4Blocks—

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	36	5-16	3-11	0-0	7	2	0	0	13
Jamiya Neal	Guard	35	5-11	1-4	1-3	8	0	0	1	12
Frankie Collins	G	36	3-6	1-3	3-7	3	1	1	0	10
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	36	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	2	5
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	17	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	4
Bryant Selebangue	F	23	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	0	3
Kamari Lands	G	14	0-3	0-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	0
Akil Watson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Adem Bona	Center	33	6-8	0-0	8-8	12	2	4	20
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	40	5-10	5-6	1-2	3	6	1	16
Dylan Andrews	G	39	4-13	3-7	1-2	2	6	1	12
Sebastian Mack	G	29	2-9	2-4	0-0	5	0	1	6
Berke Buyuktuncel	C	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Brandon Williams	F	13	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1
Kenneth Nwuba	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1
Will McClendon	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0
Logan Cremonesi	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jan Vide	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

78.7Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency78.7

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

43.8%Effective FG%50.0%

43.0%True Shooting %54.0%

25.1%Turnover Rate20.1%

29.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

45.8%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

UCLA won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.