Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Drake

57.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -133

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreIndiana State 77

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricIndiana State

46.4MMH Power Index44.4

109.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

109.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.4Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.6Tempo70.3

52.2%Effective FG%53.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

34.4%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.2Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Drake

84—80

Indiana State

Drake by 4 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATIndiana State

31-60FG31-59

52.0%FG%53.0%

11-183PT7-24

61.0%3PT%29.0%

11-13FT11-15

85.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists13

9Turnovers11

5Steals7

2Blocks1

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	33	11-19	4-5	1-2	7	5	0	0	27
Atin Wright	Guard	35	7-13	3-6	0-0	3	1	1	0	17
Darnell Brodie	Forward	28	6-9	0-0	5-6	8	1	2	0	17
Conor Enright	G	29	3-4	3-4	0-0	3	3	1	1	9
Colby Garland	G	17	3-9	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	7
Kevin Overton	G	30	1-4	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	5
Nate Ferguson	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Kyron Gibson	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Carlos Rosario	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayson Kent	Forward	35	9-10	1-2	3-5	9	0	1	0	22
Isaiah Swope	Guard	30	6-13	3-8	4-4	3	2	1	0	19
Robbie Avila	C	35	6-14	1-7	2-2	7	4	1	0	15
Ryan Conwell	G	40	6-11	1-4	0-0	7	1	3	1	13
Julian Larry	Guard	39	4-10	1-2	1-2	4	5	0	0	10
Jake Wolfe	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Xavier Bledson	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

118.0Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency118.0

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

60.8%Effective FG%58.5%

63.5%True Shooting %60.5%

12.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

21.7%Free Throw Rate25.4%

30.0%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Drake won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.