Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Austin Peay

24.2%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -313

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 83

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreStetson 74

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricStetson

54.8MMH Power Index40

115.0Offensive Efficiency107.2

103.1Defensive Efficiency115.9

11.9Net Efficiency-8.7

-5.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

71.0Tempo68.7

53.9%Effective FG%53.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate33.6%

8.4Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–40.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.2), defensive efficiency (103.1–115.9), net efficiency (11.9–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-5.8).

Final

Austin Peay

91—94

Stetson

Stetson by 3 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATStetson

31-67FG26-50

46.0%FG%52.0%

5-203PT10-19

25.0%3PT%53.0%

24-27FT32-42

89.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists9

7Turnovers10

8Steals3

1Blocks3

28Fouls21

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sai Witt	Forward	25	12-19	0-0	4-6	10	0	2	0	28
Dezi Jones	Guard	40	6-16	1-5	4-4	7	11	1	0	17
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	26	5-9	0-0	6-7	5	2	1	0	16
Isaac Haney	Guard	26	3-9	1-4	6-6	4	0	1	0	13
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	40	3-11	3-10	2-2	3	0	1	1	11
Dez White	G	32	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	2	0	4
Jordan Wilmore	Center	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	34	12-22	5-9	14-17	5	3	1	0	43
Stephan Swenson	Guard	40	4-12	0-3	5-8	1	5	0	0	13
Aubin Gateretse	Center	21	1-2	0-0	11-15	7	0	0	1	13
Alec Oglesby	G	37	3-5	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	10
Tristan Gross	G	40	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	8
Treyton Thompson	Forward	19	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	7
Giancarlo Valdez	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

126.6Offensive Efficiency130.7

130.7Defensive Efficiency126.6

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

50.0%Effective FG%62.0%

57.0%True Shooting %67.2%

9.6%Turnover Rate14.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate84.0%

29.9%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Stetson won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.