Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%Michigan State

31.4%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -218

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreIndiana 73

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricIndiana

69.8MMH Power Index58.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

15.5Net Efficiency8.9

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

67.3Tempo67.4

54.1%Effective FG%56.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

10.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.1), net efficiency (15.5–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

64—65

Indiana

Indiana by 1 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATIndiana

25-65FG27-57

38.0%FG%47.0%

8-253PT6-17

32.0%3PT%35.0%

6-7FT5-12

86.0%FT%42.0%

33Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists18

10Turnovers16

12Steals3

—Blocks3

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	37	11-21	4-8	4-4	2	3	3	30
AJ Hoggard	Guard	34	4-9	2-3	0-0	4	6	4	10
Jaden Akins	Guard	30	4-12	2-9	0-0	5	1	3	10
Malik Hall	Forward	36	3-12	0-2	1-1	7	1	1	7
Carson Cooper	C	17	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	3
Tre Holloman	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0
Xavier Booker	C	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Coen Carr	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kel'el Ware	Center	37	13-19	1-2	1-6	12	2	0	2	28
Malik Reneau	F	38	6-14	0-1	4-6	5	5	2	0	16
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	36	5-13	3-9	0-0	6	1	0	0	13
Trey Galloway	Guard	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Xavier Johnson	Guard	29	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	4	0	1	3
Anthony Leal	Guard	28	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Gabe Cupps	G	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Anthony Walker	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

96.2Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency96.2

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

44.6%Effective FG%52.6%

46.8%True Shooting %51.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate24.0%

10.8%Free Throw Rate21.1%

38.5%3-Point Rate29.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Indiana won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.