North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%North Dakota State

64.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -182

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

59MMH Power Index59.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency116.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

69.6Tempo70.0

54.5%Effective FG%59.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.1Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

North Dakota State

58—68

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 10 • 57.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

22-44FG26-51

50.0%FG%51.0%

8-193PT11-22

42.0%3PT%50.0%

6-9FT5-11

67.0%FT%45.0%

24Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists9

13Turnovers11

3Steals6

2Blocks—

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	33	6-8	4-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	16
Noah Feddersen	C	36	4-8	1-4	2-2	3	0	2	2	11
Tajavis Miller	G	17	3-5	1-2	1-1	2	0	0	0	8
Boden Skunberg	G	29	3-9	1-3	0-0	8	4	0	0	7
Jeremiah Burke	F	1	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Andrew Morgan	Forward	30	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	4
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	37	1-4	0-2	1-3	0	1	0	0	3
Lance Waddles	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Sam Hastreiter	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Joshua Streit	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ryan Sletten	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kendall Blue	G	32	6-7	3-3	0-0	2	1	0	15
Ryan Dufault	G	16	5-6	0-0	4-6	3	1	1	14
Carter Bjerke	F	21	4-5	4-5	0-0	1	1	0	12
Brooks Allen	Forward	30	3-8	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	9
Drake Dobbs	Guard	26	3-4	1-1	0-3	2	3	0	7
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	19	3-9	0-2	1-1	4	0	1	7
Raheem Anthony	Guard	32	2-7	0-3	0-1	7	0	2	4
Ben Nau	Guard	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	2	0
Ahjany Lee	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Bennett Kwiecinski	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Courtney Brown Jr.	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Dom Martinelli	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.3Possessions57.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency101.2

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

59.1%Effective FG%61.8%

60.1%True Shooting %60.5%

23.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

20.5%Free Throw Rate21.6%

43.2%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 57.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.