East Texas A&M

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%East Texas A&M

69.7%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -230

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 67

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 73

Team Comparison

East Texas A&MMetricNorthwestern State

38.4MMH Power Index41.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.0

-6.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

-9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.3Tempo63.6

50.7%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

31.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-4.3Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

East Texas A&M

69—64

Northwestern State

East Texas A&M by 5 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Texas A&MTEAM STATNorthwestern State

23-49FG26-66

47.0%FG%39.0%

3-153PT4-14

20.0%3PT%29.0%

20-32FT8-16

63.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds21

7Assists5

10Turnovers11

6Steals4

4Blocks1

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalen Williams	Guard	37	8-15	0-1	3-4	4	1	2	0	19
Kwo Agwa	F	30	6-8	1-2	3-8	2	0	0	1	16
Tommie Lewis	Guard	34	4-9	1-3	6-8	5	3	2	2	15
Alonzo Dodd	G	17	2-4	0-1	4-6	3	2	0	0	8
KC Ugwuakazi	F	12	2-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen	Guard	25	1-5	1-5	2-2	8	0	1	0	5
James Weathers	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Evan Phelps	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
VJ Reeves Jr.	Guard	10	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rob Banks	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Wilson	Forward	29	8-11	0-0	4-7	9	0	0	0	20
Chase Forte	G	39	7-16	2-3	1-4	7	3	3	1	17
Cliff Davis	G	25	6-14	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	14
Braelon Bush	G	38	3-10	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jae Slack	F	24	1-6	1-3	2-2	6	0	1	0	5
Chris Mubiru	G	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Duane Posey	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jimel Lane	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency108.8

7.9Net Efficiency-7.9

50.0%Effective FG%42.4%

53.7%True Shooting %43.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

65.3%Free Throw Rate24.2%

30.6%3-Point Rate21.2%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.45

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.