Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Texas State

69.7%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -230

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreJames Madison 77

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricJames Madison

49.4MMH Power Index52.3

107.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.4Defensive Efficiency109.4

4.3Net Efficiency1.1

-4.7Strength of Schedule1.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

68.6Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%53.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.6%

2.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

James Madison HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJames Madison holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.3–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.7), strength of schedule (1.2–-4.7), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.3).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–109.4), net efficiency (4.3–1.1), recent form (9.1–7.9).

Final

Texas State

68—73

James Madison

James Madison by 5 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATJames Madison

26-54FG23-58

48.0%FG%40.0%

3-123PT10-25

25.0%3PT%40.0%

13-18FT17-24

72.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists13

12Turnovers13

5Steals6

6Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Love	Forward	27	8-9	0-0	1-3	4	0	2	0	17
Dontae Horne	G	19	4-10	0-2	7-9	2	4	0	0	15
Davion Sykes	G	36	5-9	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	11
Coleton Benson	G	17	2-7	2-6	2-2	2	1	0	1	8
Dylan Dawson	Guard	24	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Jordan Mason	G	29	1-10	0-1	2-2	6	2	0	0	4
Joshua O'Garro	G	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	4
Christian Turner	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	3	2
Chris Nix	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Freidel	Guard	36	7-15	5-11	9-9	3	3	0	3	28
Xavier Brown	G	30	3-8	3-5	2-2	1	0	3	0	11
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	35	4-11	0-2	0-0	6	6	0	0	8
T.J. Bickerstaff	Not Available	26	2-6	0-0	3-7	11	1	0	1	7
Jaylen Carey	F	13	2-4	0-1	3-6	3	1	0	0	7
Michael Green III	Guard	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Julien Wooden	Forward	27	2-9	0-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Raekwon Horton	Forward	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bryant Randleman	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

101.5Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

50.9%Effective FG%48.3%

54.4%True Shooting %52.6%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate41.4%

22.2%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

James Madison won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.