Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Idaho State

79.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -398

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Colorado

45.9MMH Power Index53.7

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.4Net Efficiency8.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

67.1Tempo71.1

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Idaho State

83—76

Northern Colorado

Idaho State by 7 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

29-62FG29-63

47.0%FG%46.0%

6-183PT8-22

33.0%3PT%36.0%

19-20FT10-13

95.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

10Turnovers12

6Steals4

1Blocks3

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	33	9-18	3-8	7-8	3	1	0	0	28
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	6-9	2-2	0-0	8	1	1	0	14
Kiree Huie	F	23	5-7	0-0	3-3	6	0	0	0	13
Maleek Arington	G	40	3-12	0-3	5-5	3	8	1	0	11
Brayden Parker	Center	34	3-9	0-3	4-4	7	1	3	1	10
Trent Johnson	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
AJ Burgin	Guard	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	29	7-15	2-4	3-4	5	1	1	0	19
Langston Reynolds	G	24	6-9	0-1	4-6	3	1	0	1	16
Saint Thomas	Forward	40	4-11	1-3	3-3	6	9	2	1	12
Jaron Rillie	Guard	33	4-12	3-8	0-0	7	1	0	1	11
Brock Wisne	F	32	5-9	0-0	0-0	8	1	1	0	10
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	17	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Zach Bloch	G	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Theo Hughes	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

115.4Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency115.4

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

51.6%Effective FG%52.4%

58.0%True Shooting %54.9%

14.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.3%Free Throw Rate20.6%

29.0%3-Point Rate34.9%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.