East Tennessee State logo

East Tennessee State

23-11
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
46.5%East Tennessee State
53.5%Samford
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSamford -0.6
PROJECTED TOTAL152.6
MODEL MONEYLINESamford -115
Samford logo

Samford

18-14
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 76
Projected Total152.6
Projected ScoreSamford 77

Team Comparison

57.4MMH Power Index54.1
115.1Offensive Efficiency113.5
102.8Defensive Efficiency108.3
12.3Net Efficiency5.2
-1.6Strength of Schedule-2.9
3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0
67.4Tempo69.5
55.4%Effective FG%54.0%
15.1%Turnover Rate13.3%
28.8%Offensive Rebound %25.3%
35.0%Free Throw Rate42.5%
8.3Average Margin3.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).
Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).
Final
East Tennessee State logo
East Tennessee State
69—76
Samford logo
Samford
Samford by 7 • 77.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATSamford
24-59FG23-53
41.0%FG%43.0%
6-233PT5-18
26.0%3PT%28.0%
15-29FT25-37
52.0%FT%68.0%
41Rebounds32
15Offensive Rebounds7
8Assists11
19Turnovers14
6Steals9
3Blocks5
29Fouls24

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Ebby AsamoahGuard405-153-115-931110018
Quimari PetersonG268-171-60-232100017
Karon BoydF282-40-04-67001008
Jaden SeymourForward352-70-33-811121007
Tyler RiceGuard162-42-30-03200006
Allen StrothersG241-30-03-45200005
Jadyn ParkerForward142-40-00-01010004
DJ HughesForward121-40-00-04010002
Braden IlicForward11-10-00-00000002
Gabe SiskG40-00-00-00000000
Samford
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Achor AchorF327-90-111-1491240025
Jermaine MarshallForward217-141-38-1381100023
Jaden CampbellGuard233-33-32-450000011
Rylan JonesGuard333-120-60-02421006
AJ Staton-McCrayG182-41-10-03020005
Garrett HicksGuard180-40-24-40100004
Riley AllenspachF71-20-00-01000002
Nathan JohnsonForward190-10-00-01000000
Dallas GrazianiGuard180-20-10-00320000
Josh HollowayG70-20-10-20100000
Lukas WallsG40-00-00-01000000

Advanced Game Stats

77.2Possessions77.2
89.4Offensive Efficiency98.4
98.4Defensive Efficiency89.4
-9.1Net Efficiency9.1
45.8%Effective FG%48.1%
47.4%True Shooting %53.8%
24.7%Turnover Rate18.0%
49.2%Free Throw Rate69.8%
39.0%3-Point Rate34.0%
0.42Assist / Turnover0.79
Game Summary
Samford won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.