Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -114

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricWeber State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency113.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.5Net Efficiency5.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.1Tempo71.5

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.5Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Montana State

91—82

Weber State

Montana State by 9 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATWeber State

31-56FG31-63

55.0%FG%49.0%

13-273PT10-26

48.0%3PT%38.0%

16-18FT10-13

89.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists13

14Turnovers14

8Steals7

4Blocks2

12Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	36	9-15	2-5	7-7	6	4	1	0	27
Brian Goracke	Forward	32	8-12	5-9	4-5	2	0	0	1	25
Tyler Patterson	Guard	34	3-7	3-6	3-3	1	0	2	0	12
Eddie Turner III	Guard	31	4-10	1-4	0-0	4	3	3	0	9
Sam Lecholat	Forward	29	3-3	1-1	2-3	6	4	2	3	9
Brandon Walker	F	12	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
John Olmsted	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	0	4
Jed Miller	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	33	8-9	1-1	3-4	11	4	2	0	20
Dillon Jones	Forward	36	7-15	1-3	4-4	2	5	2	0	19
Dyson Koehler	Forward	35	5-12	3-8	1-2	2	0	2	1	14
Steven Verplancken	Guard	36	3-9	2-6	2-3	3	2	0	0	10
Alex Tew	Center	24	4-8	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	1	8
KJ Cunningham	Guard	11	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Viljami Vartiainen	G	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Marko Šarenac	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Louie Jordan	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Dockery	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

125.7Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency125.7

12.4Net Efficiency-12.4

67.0%Effective FG%57.1%

70.5%True Shooting %59.3%

19.3%Turnover Rate19.4%

32.1%Free Throw Rate20.6%

48.2%3-Point Rate41.3%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Montana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.