Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.6%Portland State

49.4%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -102

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreMontana 76

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricMontana

50.2MMH Power Index45.4

109.3Offensive Efficiency108.6

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

9.1Net Efficiency3.8

-5.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

70.1Tempo71.2

51.7%Effective FG%56.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

6.4Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–45.4), offensive efficiency (109.3–108.6), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.8), net efficiency (9.1–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (56.3–51.7), free throw rate (37.7–36.8).

Final

Portland State

81—87

Montana

Montana by 6 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATMontana

27-66FG28-55

41.0%FG%51.0%

6-173PT9-27

35.0%3PT%33.0%

21-29FT22-30

72.0%FT%73.0%

43Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds4

4Assists15

13Turnovers11

4Steals4

3Blocks2

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	29	12-20	3-5	1-3	15	0	0	0	28
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	28	7-12	2-5	3-5	4	0	1	0	19
Kendall Munson	Forward	18	3-4	0-0	5-5	4	0	0	0	11
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	22	3-9	1-1	3-4	5	2	2	0	10
Isiah Kirby	Guard	26	0-6	0-0	6-6	3	0	0	0	6
Cole Farrell	G	25	2-5	0-0	1-4	4	2	1	1	5
Hayden Curtiss	Center	1	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Bobby Harvey	Guard	27	0-5	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ismail Habib	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hunter Woods	Forward	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aanen Moody	Guard	32	9-13	3-7	6-10	3	4	1	0	27
Brandon Whitney	Guard	39	5-9	1-3	7-8	3	4	2	0	18
Josh Vazquez	Guard	39	5-11	3-8	2-2	2	3	0	0	15
Giordan Williams	Guard	20	3-6	0-2	2-3	7	0	0	0	8
Laolu Oke	Forward	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	6
Blake Jones	Forward	11	2-2	2-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Chase Henderson	G	4	0-1	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Dischon Thomas	Forward	26	0-6	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	1	2
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jaxon Nap	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

105.7Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency105.7

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

45.5%Effective FG%59.1%

50.8%True Shooting %62.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

43.9%Free Throw Rate54.5%

25.8%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.31Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Montana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.