Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Louisville

43.3%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -131

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNC State

67.1MMH Power Index60.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

16.4Net Efficiency9.8

6.0Strength of Schedule6.4

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

71.0Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

11.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–60.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–118.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.6), net efficiency (16.4–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.4–6.0), ball security (13.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.7–34.1).

Final

Louisville

85—94

NC State

NC State by 9 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATNC State

32-58FG27-51

55.0%FG%53.0%

10-183PT7-19

56.0%3PT%37.0%

11-11FT33-40

100.0%FT%82.0%

26Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

16Turnovers9

6Steals12

4Blocks5

23Fouls12

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	40	12-17	7-9	5-5	4	2	2	0	36
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	32	6-10	1-1	4-4	7	4	2	1	17
Tre White	G	34	6-12	1-2	0-0	6	0	1	1	13
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	24	4-10	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	8
Mike James	G	39	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	1	6
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Kaleb Glenn	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zan Payne	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Casey Morsell	Guard	39	5-12	2-7	13-13	1	1	2	1	25
Jayden Taylor	Guard	39	6-12	2-7	4-6	8	3	4	1	18
Michael O'Connell	Guard	34	5-9	1-3	5-6	3	3	3	0	16
DJ Burns	Forward	11	4-5	0-0	4-5	2	2	0	0	12
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	25	2-7	0-0	7-8	4	2	2	1	11
Breon Pass	Guard	22	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	2	4
Kam Woods	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

118.7Offensive Efficiency131.3

131.3Defensive Efficiency118.7

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

63.8%Effective FG%59.8%

67.2%True Shooting %67.1%

22.2%Turnover Rate12.7%

19.0%Free Throw Rate78.4%

31.0%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

NC State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.