Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Wagner

84.7%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL138.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -554

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 64

Projected Total138.3

Projected ScoreMerrimack 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricMerrimack

42.9MMH Power Index53.7

105.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.2

-0.6Net Efficiency3.2

-5.0Strength of Schedule0.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

67.6Tempo64.4

50.2%Effective FG%49.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

31.6%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-0.4Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–42.9), offensive efficiency (106.4–105.5), defensive efficiency (103.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.2–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.2–49.3), offensive rebounding (34.0–24.7).

Final

Wagner

54—47

Merrimack

Wagner by 7 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATMerrimack

22-49FG17-57

45.0%FG%30.0%

2-153PT10-38

13.0%3PT%26.0%

8-14FT3-3

57.0%FT%100.0%

42Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists12

12Turnovers9

2Steals5

2Blocks2

10Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahron Allen	Not Available	40	8-16	1-2	5-8	7	1	0	1	22
Melvin Council Jr.	G	40	6-15	0-5	0-1	4	0	1	0	12
Javier Ezquerra	G	40	3-8	1-5	2-3	4	1	1	0	9
Keyontae Lewis	F	29	4-6	0-0	0-0	12	0	0	1	8
Seck Zongo	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Julian Brown	Guard	37	0-3	0-3	1-2	8	3	0	0	1
Tyje Kelton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Savage	Guard	36	6-14	4-12	0-0	6	0	0	0	16
Jordan McKoy	Guard	25	3-8	3-8	2-2	3	0	0	0	11
Adam Clark	G	40	4-14	0-1	0-0	5	7	2	0	8
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	5
Jordan Derkack	G	34	1-11	1-10	1-1	4	2	1	0	4
Bryan Etumnu	F	27	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	3
Samba Diallo	Forward	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jaylen Stinson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

92.2Offensive Efficiency80.2

80.2Defensive Efficiency92.2

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

46.9%Effective FG%38.6%

48.5%True Shooting %40.2%

20.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate5.3%

30.6%3-Point Rate66.7%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Wagner won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.