Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Sacramento State

84.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -541

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana State

43MMH Power Index53.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

73.2Tempo68.1

48.5%Effective FG%55.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

41.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.3Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Sacramento State

71—74

Montana State

Montana State by 3 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana State

27-66FG28-57

41.0%FG%49.0%

11-273PT11-27

41.0%3PT%41.0%

6-12FT7-8

50.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

8Turnovers12

5Steals5

3Blocks7

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Patterson	Guard	36	7-15	2-6	0-0	6	4	2	0	16
Emil Skytt	G	31	4-7	2-3	2-2	0	1	1	1	12
Zee Hamoda	G	33	4-14	3-8	0-2	6	2	2	0	11
Bowyn Beatty	F	30	4-10	1-2	1-3	7	0	0	1	10
Akol Mawein	Forward	18	3-7	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	15	2-5	1-3	1-2	0	2	0	0	6
Alex Kovatchev	G	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Jacob Holt	Forward	16	1-3	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	1	4

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	36	6-11	4-7	3-4	6	3	4	1	19
Sam Lecholat	Forward	32	4-7	3-6	2-2	11	0	1	2	13
Brandon Walker	F	16	6-9	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	13
Eddie Turner III	Guard	36	4-10	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	9
Brian Goracke	Forward	28	4-11	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	3	9
Tyler Patterson	Guard	28	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Jed Miller	G	3	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
John Olmsted	Forward	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency104.7

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

49.2%Effective FG%58.8%

49.5%True Shooting %60.9%

11.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

18.2%Free Throw Rate14.0%

40.9%3-Point Rate47.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Montana State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.