Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Florida State

59.8%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia Tech -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia Tech -149

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 82

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricVirginia Tech

58.7MMH Power Index57.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency112.8

108.5Defensive Efficiency107.2

3.4Net Efficiency5.6

5.7Strength of Schedule5.8

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

71.8Tempo69.8

52.4%Effective FG%52.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.4Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia Tech holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (107.2–108.5), net efficiency (5.6–3.4), strength of schedule (5.8–5.7).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–57.7), recent form (7.6–-3.9), shooting efficiency (52.4–52.3).

Final

Florida State

86—76

Virginia Tech

Florida State by 10 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATVirginia Tech

29-54FG26-53

54.0%FG%49.0%

3-133PT6-24

23.0%3PT%25.0%

25-30FT18-24

83.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists14

10Turnovers13

10Steals4

3Blocks1

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	34	9-15	2-4	14-17	11	1	4	0	34
Jalen Warley	G	33	8-10	0-0	2-2	3	4	2	0	18
Primo Spears	Guard	21	4-7	0-2	2-2	2	2	2	0	10
Cameron Corhen	F	30	2-5	0-0	4-4	5	2	2	0	8
Baba Miller	F	25	2-4	0-0	3-5	4	1	0	1	7
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	4
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	26	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Chandler Jackson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Pedulla	Guard	32	8-17	1-6	7-9	3	5	0	0	24
Tyler Nickel	F	33	7-12	3-7	1-1	7	1	0	0	18
MJ Collins Jr.	G	37	5-10	0-3	5-6	1	4	1	0	15
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	38	1-5	1-5	5-7	5	3	1	0	8
Lynn Kidd	Center	28	4-6	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	1	8
Jaydon Young	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Robbie Beran	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

121.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency121.3

14.1Net Efficiency-14.1

56.5%Effective FG%54.7%

63.0%True Shooting %59.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate18.0%

55.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

24.1%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Florida State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.