Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Fresno State

81.9%Wyoming

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWyoming -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWyoming -452

Wyoming

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreWyoming 80

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricWyoming

47.1MMH Power Index56.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency113.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.7

0.0Net Efficiency5.7

1.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.4Tempo67.8

51.3%Effective FG%52.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

35.5%Free Throw Rate36.7%

0.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wyoming HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWyoming holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.4–104.9), net efficiency (5.7–0.0), strength of schedule (2.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.7).

Final

Fresno State

77—73

Wyoming

Fresno State by 4 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATWyoming

25-47FG23-56

53.0%FG%41.0%

5-153PT12-26

33.0%3PT%46.0%

22-23FT15-26

96.0%FT%58.0%

34Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists14

18Turnovers12

8Steals11

1Blocks6

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Pope	Guard	28	7-14	1-6	7-7	5	2	3	0	22
Donavan Yap	Guard	25	4-5	1-2	7-8	5	1	0	0	16
Xavier DuSell	Guard	40	4-9	1-4	2-2	2	0	2	0	11
Leo Colimerio	Forward	34	4-4	0-0	2-2	5	3	1	0	10
Jalen Weaver	Guard	23	3-4	2-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Isaiah Hill	Guard	32	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	4	2	1	4
Enoch Boakye	Forward	18	1-4	0-0	2-2	7	3	0	0	4

Wyoming

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Akuel Kot	Guard	38	8-15	4-8	3-4	4	1	1	0	23
Sam Griffin	Guard	39	6-15	3-7	4-6	2	6	1	0	19
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	36	5-14	3-8	2-4	4	1	0	0	15
Mason Walters	Forward	32	3-7	1-1	0-0	9	1	5	1	7
Kael Combs	G	19	1-2	1-2	1-4	2	0	2	2	4
Cam Manyawu	F	8	0-1	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	1	3
Caden Powell	C	22	0-2	0-0	2-4	6	4	2	2	2
Kobe Newton	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

111.3Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency111.3

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

58.5%Effective FG%51.8%

66.5%True Shooting %53.4%

25.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

48.9%Free Throw Rate46.4%

31.9%3-Point Rate46.4%

0.72Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.