San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%San José State

88.1%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -740

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricColorado State

42MMH Power Index55.4

108.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

118.5Defensive Efficiency109.9

-9.8Net Efficiency7.2

1.8Strength of Schedule0.4

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

66.2Tempo64.7

50.8%Effective FG%58.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.2%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-6.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–108.7), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.4), ball security (15.2–18.3), offensive rebounding (30.7–29.2).

Final

San José State

62—72

Colorado State

Colorado State by 10 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATColorado State

25-57FG28-53

44.0%FG%53.0%

5-213PT6-19

24.0%3PT%32.0%

7-8FT10-15

88.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists22

9Turnovers8

4Steals2

—Blocks4

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	40	8-14	2-4	0-0	9	6	1	18
Myron Amey Jr.	G	40	7-20	1-8	2-2	4	3	2	17
Latrell Davis	G	28	5-9	1-2	5-6	4	1	1	16
Tibet Gorener	Forward	37	3-7	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	7
Trey Anderson	Forward	27	2-6	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	4
Diogo Seixas	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0
Christian Wise	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Garrett Anderson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Scott	Forward	27	6-7	0-0	6-8	6	2	0	0	18
Joe Palmer	Guard	18	5-6	4-5	0-1	3	1	0	1	14
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	38	4-11	1-2	2-2	2	10	1	0	11
Nique Clifford	Guard	32	3-8	1-4	1-2	9	4	1	2	8
Patrick Cartier	Forward	21	4-6	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	1	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	23	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Josiah Strong	Guard	22	2-6	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Tavi Jackson	G	6	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

100.8Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency100.8

-16.3Net Efficiency16.3

48.2%Effective FG%58.5%

51.0%True Shooting %59.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

14.0%Free Throw Rate28.3%

36.8%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.