Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -34.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -9900

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 57

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 91

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricNew Mexico

23MMH Power Index63.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency114.8

118.5Defensive Efficiency100.2

-27.2Net Efficiency14.6

6.2Strength of Schedule2.0

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

67.4Tempo70.7

49.0%Effective FG%53.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-18.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–91.3), defensive efficiency (100.2–118.5), net efficiency (14.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–2.0).

Final

Air Force

56—82

New Mexico

New Mexico by 26 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATNew Mexico

20-50FG32-68

40.0%FG%47.0%

7-283PT6-21

25.0%3PT%29.0%

9-13FT12-13

69.0%FT%92.0%

25Rebounds45

4Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists21

14Turnovers9

6Steals9

6Blocks4

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rytis Petraitis	F	38	9-13	2-3	6-7	10	1	0	1	26
Beau Becker	Forward	30	3-9	2-8	0-1	3	3	1	2	8
Byron Brown	Guard	27	3-5	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Kellan Boylan	F	31	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	4	3	1	5
Ethan Taylor	Guard	22	1-9	1-7	2-2	1	0	1	1	5
Luke Kearney	F	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	29	1-7	0-4	0-1	2	3	1	1	2
Wesley Celichowski	C	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chase Beasley	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brady Ruggles	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	22	8-12	1-1	1-1	11	1	2	1	18
Jaelen House	Guard	25	6-13	2-6	2-2	2	3	3	0	16
Tru Washington	G	21	6-9	1-3	1-1	3	0	0	1	14
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	19	3-5	1-3	3-3	2	1	0	0	10
Donovan Dent	G	30	4-8	0-0	0-0	2	9	3	0	8
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	21	2-6	0-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	6
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	26	1-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	3
Isaac Mushila	Forward	8	0-2	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	2
Quinton Webb	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Sebastian Forsling	Center	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	3	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

84.0Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency84.0

-39.0Net Efficiency39.0

47.0%Effective FG%51.5%

49.8%True Shooting %55.3%

21.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

26.0%Free Throw Rate19.1%

56.0%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.