Vanderbilt

27-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Vanderbilt

63.5%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL171.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -174

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVanderbilt 84

Projected Total171.8

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Team Comparison

VanderbiltMetricArkansas

68.9MMH Power Index69.3

120.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

105.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

15.2Net Efficiency12.4

7.4Strength of Schedule8.6

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.9Tempo73.8

55.3%Effective FG%56.4%

13.5%Turnover Rate12.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

39.3%Free Throw Rate36.5%

10.8Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–68.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–120.9), strength of schedule (8.6–7.4), recent form (3.4–2.7).

Vanderbilt COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–109.8), net efficiency (15.2–12.4), free throw rate (39.3–36.5).

Final

Vanderbilt

85—90

Arkansas

Arkansas by 5 • 78.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VanderbiltTEAM STATArkansas

33-63FG29-65

52.0%FG%45.0%

6-153PT9-25

40.0%3PT%36.0%

13-21FT23-26

62.0%FT%88.0%

35Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists14

13Turnovers10

9Steals8

2Blocks7

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Vanderbilt

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ezra Manjon	Guard	37	12-19	0-1	5-7	5	6	0	0	29
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	38	9-15	1-2	2-4	10	0	3	2	21
JaQualon Roberts	F	29	2-4	2-3	4-4	1	0	1	0	10
Malik Presley	G	29	3-7	1-3	1-3	4	2	1	0	8
Tyrin Lawrence	Guard	35	2-5	1-2	1-3	6	3	2	0	6
Evan Taylor	Guard	23	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Tasos Kamateros	Forward	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Williams	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Isaiah West	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul Lewis	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	40	5-12	1-5	13-14	6	3	2	0	24
Tramon Mark	G	38	6-12	2-6	4-4	4	2	1	0	18
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	35	7-11	0-0	4-6	7	3	2	3	18
Trevon Brazile	F	42	5-10	3-6	0-0	12	1	2	4	13
Davonte Davis	Guard	32	4-9	2-3	2-2	0	3	1	0	12
El Ellis	Guard	22	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Chandler Lawson	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	5	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.2Possessions78.2

108.7Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency108.7

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

57.1%Effective FG%51.5%

58.2%True Shooting %58.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate12.8%

33.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

23.8%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 78.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.