NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%NC State

40.8%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -145

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 78

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricSyracuse

60.1MMH Power Index52.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

9.8Net Efficiency2.6

6.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

70.2Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%52.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.2%

6.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), net efficiency (9.8–2.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.6), offensive rebounding (29.0–28.2), free throw rate (36.2–35.7).

Final

NC State

83—65

Syracuse

NC State by 18 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATSyracuse

28-66FG27-58

42.0%FG%47.0%

7-203PT6-19

35.0%3PT%32.0%

20-24FT5-6

83.0%FT%83.0%

40Rebounds31

17Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists15

10Turnovers19

11Steals6

2Blocks3

9Fouls15

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	34	6-12	3-7	3-5	9	1	1	1	18
Michael O'Connell	Guard	30	4-6	3-3	5-6	4	3	2	0	16
DJ Horne	Guard	20	6-13	1-3	3-4	1	2	4	0	16
DJ Burns	Forward	24	7-12	0-0	1-1	6	3	0	0	15
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	32	2-7	0-2	4-4	14	6	2	1	8
Casey Morsell	Guard	34	2-9	0-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	6
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	1-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Breon Pass	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Kam Woods	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Judah Mintz	Guard	36	9-21	0-3	3-4	5	4	2	0	21
Maliq Brown	F	39	5-6	1-2	0-0	12	3	2	2	11
Quadir Copeland	G	31	4-10	1-5	2-2	5	4	1	0	11
Chris Bell	F	21	4-6	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	11
J.J. Starling	G	35	4-10	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	9
Justin Taylor	G	25	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Peter Carey	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

116.6Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency116.6

25.3Net Efficiency-25.3

47.7%Effective FG%51.7%

53.6%True Shooting %53.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate26.4%

36.4%Free Throw Rate10.3%

30.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

NC State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.