Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.8%Michigan

2.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -24.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -4445

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 92

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricPenn State

80.9MMH Power Index42.3

122.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

25.3Net Efficiency-8.4

8.7Strength of Schedule5.3

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

71.8Tempo67.5

58.8%Effective FG%53.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

18.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–42.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–117.6), net efficiency (25.3–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Michigan

57—66

Penn State

Penn State by 9 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATPenn State

20-58FG18-47

34.0%FG%38.0%

4-183PT7-17

22.0%3PT%41.0%

13-18FT23-29

72.0%FT%79.0%

42Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists10

15Turnovers10

4Steals7

3Blocks5

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Williams II	F	36	5-9	0-1	5-7	6	3	1	0	15
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	28	5-10	0-0	2-3	8	1	0	1	12
Nimari Burnett	G	37	4-11	3-5	0-1	4	4	0	1	11
Dug McDaniel	G	34	3-12	1-7	0-0	3	6	1	0	7
George Washington III	G	1	0-0	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	4
Will Tschetter	F	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Jace Howard	G	22	0-5	0-2	2-3	7	0	0	1	2
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jackson Selvala	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Tray Jackson	Not Available	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Harrison Hochberg	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ian Burns	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Hicks	Forward	35	7-14	6-11	0-0	6	1	0	0	20
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	39	5-12	1-4	6-8	5	6	3	1	17
Qudus Wahab	Forward	29	3-8	0-0	7-11	8	0	1	1	13
Puff Johnson	G	25	1-6	0-1	5-5	2	0	0	1	7
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	27	1-3	0-0	4-4	2	2	1	0	6
Demetrius Lilley	C	5	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jameel Brown	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Bragi Gudmundsson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dan Conlan	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Andy Christos	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

87.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency87.4

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

37.9%Effective FG%45.7%

42.8%True Shooting %54.3%

22.9%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.0%Free Throw Rate61.7%

31.0%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Penn State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.