DePaul

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%DePaul

85.0%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -567

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDePaul 67

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Team Comparison

DePaulMetricVillanova

48.4MMH Power Index59.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.0Net Efficiency8.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.7Tempo67.3

49.9%Effective FG%53.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

0.7Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–103.7), net efficiency (8.8–1.0), strength of schedule (4.4–2.0).

DePaul COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–105.9), free throw rate (36.8–31.4).

Final

DePaul

57—58

Villanova

Villanova by 1 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DePaulTEAM STATVillanova

22-60FG22-52

37.0%FG%42.0%

9-283PT11-35

32.0%3PT%31.0%

4-5FT3-6

80.0%FT%50.0%

37Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds3

14Assists17

7Turnovers10

7Steals3

3Blocks6

9Fouls11

Player Box Score

DePaul

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Terry	Guard	36	6-12	4-9	2-2	15	5	1	0	18
Jeremiah Oden	F	22	3-8	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	18	3-8	0-2	1-1	2	3	0	0	7
Jaden Henley	G	25	3-9	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
K.T. Raimey	Guard	18	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Elijah Fisher	G	30	2-6	0-1	1-2	6	2	1	1	5
Churchill Abass	F	22	2-6	0-0	0-0	8	0	3	1	4
Chico Carter Jr.	Guard	29	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	3

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	34	8-20	3-12	2-3	9	3	0	1	21
Mark Armstrong	Guard	32	4-10	2-6	1-1	1	4	1	1	11
Justin Moore	Guard	32	4-7	2-4	0-0	6	4	1	1	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	11	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Tyler Burton	Forward	32	3-5	1-3	0-0	6	2	1	2	7
TJ Bamba	Guard	27	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Brendan Hausen	G	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Hakim Hart	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

93.1Offensive Efficiency94.8

94.8Defensive Efficiency93.1

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

44.2%Effective FG%52.9%

45.7%True Shooting %52.9%

11.6%Turnover Rate16.2%

8.3%Free Throw Rate11.5%

46.7%3-Point Rate67.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Villanova won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.