Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Stanford

55.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -123

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 75

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricCalifornia

59.2MMH Power Index56.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency111.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

4.5Net Efficiency7.0

5.2Strength of Schedule2.8

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.1Tempo69.9

51.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

3.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.9).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.5), strength of schedule (5.2–2.8), recent form (7.4–1.8).

Final

Stanford

87—76

California

Stanford by 11 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATCalifornia

29-68FG28-71

43.0%FG%39.0%

5-243PT14-35

21.0%3PT%40.0%

24-36FT6-9

67.0%FT%67.0%

53Rebounds39

19Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists21

11Turnovers13

10Steals6

6Blocks1

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	37	7-17	1-5	6-7	13	3	0	2	21
Spencer Jones	Forward	39	6-15	2-8	6-10	7	2	4	2	20
Brandon Angel	Forward	36	5-8	1-2	5-7	8	0	1	1	16
Kanaan Carlyle	G	20	3-6	0-1	4-6	2	3	1	0	10
Michael Jones	Guard	38	3-10	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	9
James Keefe	Forward	8	2-2	0-0	1-4	5	0	1	0	5
Benny Gealer	G	22	2-6	0-2	0-0	5	5	1	0	4
Max Murrell	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Andrej Stojakovic	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Cone	Guard	39	5-13	5-13	4-5	4	5	2	0	19
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	39	7-20	2-5	2-3	7	8	0	0	18
Jalen Celestine	G	31	5-12	4-9	0-0	5	2	0	1	14
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	38	4-9	3-4	0-0	5	3	2	0	11
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	28	4-8	0-1	0-0	9	2	1	0	8
Grant Newell	F	28	1-4	0-2	0-1	4	0	1	0	2
Rodney Brown	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Devin Curtis	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

113.4Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency113.4

14.3Net Efficiency-14.3

46.3%Effective FG%49.3%

51.1%True Shooting %50.5%

14.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

52.9%Free Throw Rate12.7%

35.3%3-Point Rate49.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Stanford won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.