Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Alabama State

70.8%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -242

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreGrambling 77

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricGrambling

38MMH Power Index41.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency100.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

-5.7Net Efficiency0.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

71.9Tempo69.9

48.2%Effective FG%49.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate20.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate42.2%

-4.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Alabama State

50—56

Grambling

Grambling by 6 • 59.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATGrambling

17-56FG18-49

30.0%FG%37.0%

8-273PT9-19

30.0%3PT%47.0%

8-11FT11-16

73.0%FT%69.0%

36Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists9

7Turnovers10

5Steals2

7Blocks7

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	36	5-17	2-5	3-5	7	3	0	0	15
Isaiah Range	Guard	37	4-7	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	1	10
CJ Hines	G	25	3-11	2-7	0-0	1	4	3	0	8
Amarr Knox	G	11	0-1	0-0	5-6	2	1	0	0	5
Sean Smith	G	9	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Micah Octave	G	39	1-5	1-4	0-0	8	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	3	2
Darrell Reed	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	2
Eric Coleman	Forward	12	0-5	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Kendal Parker	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kintavious Dozier	G	32	6-13	3-6	3-4	3	1	0	0	18
Tra'Michael Moton	Guard	38	5-12	3-5	1-1	3	2	0	1	14
Antwan Burnett	G	37	2-9	2-4	5-6	8	2	0	1	11
Jourdan Smith	Guard	36	2-6	0-2	2-4	8	2	1	2	6
Mikale Stevenson	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jonathan Aku	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	2
Jimel Cofer Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Zahad Munford	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.9Possessions59.9

83.5Offensive Efficiency93.5

93.5Defensive Efficiency83.5

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

37.5%Effective FG%45.9%

40.8%True Shooting %49.5%

11.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

19.6%Free Throw Rate32.7%

48.2%3-Point Rate38.8%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Grambling won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 59.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.