Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Montana State

40.0%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -150

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreMontana 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricMontana

53.6MMH Power Index45.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency108.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.8

9.5Net Efficiency3.8

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

68.1Tempo71.2

55.1%Effective FG%56.3%

14.7%Turnover Rate19.2%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.7%

6.5Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.4), offensive efficiency (114.4–108.6), net efficiency (9.5–3.8), recent form (4.9–-6.5).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), shooting efficiency (56.3–55.1).

Final

Montana State

85—85

Montana

Tied • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATMontana

32-64FG32-64

50.0%FG%50.0%

6-233PT6-23

26.0%3PT%26.0%

15-22FT15-22

68.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists8

3Turnovers3

8Steals8

—Blocks—

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	35	8-13	2-5	4-5	9	4	5	22
John Olmsted	Forward	24	5-7	0-0	6-8	5	0	0	16
Eddie Turner III	Guard	37	6-16	0-4	3-4	0	3	2	15
Brandon Walker	F	15	7-11	0-2	0-3	6	0	1	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	37	4-8	2-6	2-2	2	0	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	35	1-4	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	3
Brian Goracke	Forward	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Jed Miller	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	35	8-13	2-5	4-5	9	4	5	22
John Olmsted	Forward	24	5-7	0-0	6-8	5	0	0	16
Eddie Turner III	Guard	37	6-16	0-4	3-4	0	3	2	15
Brandon Walker	F	15	7-11	0-2	0-3	6	0	1	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	37	4-8	2-6	2-2	2	0	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	35	1-4	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	3
Brian Goracke	Forward	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Jed Miller	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

124.1Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency124.1

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

54.7%Effective FG%54.7%

57.1%True Shooting %57.1%

4.4%Turnover Rate4.4%

34.4%Free Throw Rate34.4%

35.9%3-Point Rate35.9%

2.67Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.