Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Cal State Northridge

66.0%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -194

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 77

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Santa Barbara

50MMH Power Index51.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

2.1Net Efficiency7.1

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

75.9Tempo68.5

51.0%Effective FG%54.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.3), net efficiency (7.1–2.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.0), recent form (1.8–-1.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

87—84

UC Santa Barbara

Cal State Northridge by 3 • 79.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

29-62FG24-62

47.0%FG%39.0%

8-193PT8-27

42.0%3PT%30.0%

21-34FT28-37

62.0%FT%76.0%

43Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists14

11Turnovers12

6Steals9

2Blocks4

27Fouls27

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	36	8-11	1-2	7-10	9	1	1	1	24
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	43	5-17	2-5	11-16	3	4	3	0	23
Dionte Bostick	Guard	43	8-16	1-4	1-3	6	6	1	0	18
Gianni Hunt	G	24	3-8	3-6	2-2	5	3	1	1	11
Jasman Sangha	Forward	13	4-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Jared Barnett	Guard	21	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Dearon Tucker	Center	28	0-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	0	0
Bryan Ndjonga	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Kyle Frelow	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	40	10-21	5-12	11-12	9	5	3	0	36
Yohan Traore	F	36	5-11	0-0	7-10	3	0	1	0	17
Cole Anderson	Guard	38	3-9	1-6	2-2	1	0	1	0	9
Jason Fontenet II	G	25	2-5	1-3	2-2	9	1	1	0	7
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	22	2-4	0-1	2-6	0	4	2	0	6
Matija Belic	F	32	2-7	1-4	0-0	6	3	1	0	5
Ben Shtolzberg	G	9	0-2	0-1	3-3	2	1	0	0	3
Ariel Bland	F	21	0-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	4	1
Kilian Brockhoff	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.4Possessions79.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.6

3.8Net Efficiency-3.8

53.2%Effective FG%45.2%

55.7%True Shooting %52.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

54.8%Free Throw Rate59.7%

30.6%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 79.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.