Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Minnesota

93.5%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1438

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 62

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricMichigan State

50.5MMH Power Index69.8

109.1Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.4Net Efficiency15.5

3.2Strength of Schedule7.2

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

63.6Tempo67.3

54.1%Effective FG%54.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–50.5), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.7), net efficiency (15.5–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHball security (16.5–17.2), free throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Minnesota

67—77

Michigan State

Michigan State by 10 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATMichigan State

24-48FG30-54

50.0%FG%56.0%

8-223PT5-8

36.0%3PT%63.0%

11-19FT12-19

58.0%FT%63.0%

23Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists19

12Turnovers9

6Steals10

3Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	37	8-15	2-6	1-5	4	1	0	0	19
Cam Christie	Guard	38	4-9	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	1	11
Parker Fox	Forward	23	4-5	0-1	3-6	0	1	1	0	11
Pharrel Payne	F	15	3-4	0-0	5-5	3	0	1	1	11
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	38	3-7	2-4	2-3	4	7	0	1	10
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	26	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Braeden Carrington	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Hoggard	Guard	29	6-6	1-1	4-4	2	6	1	1	17
Tyson Walker	Guard	32	6-15	1-3	2-2	3	4	2	0	15
Jaden Akins	Guard	35	4-6	1-1	0-0	7	1	2	0	9
Malik Hall	Forward	21	4-8	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	0	9
Tre Holloman	G	21	3-3	2-2	1-2	1	4	2	1	9
Jaxon Kohler	F	20	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	7
Xavier Booker	C	15	3-7	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Carson Cooper	C	21	1-2	0-0	1-4	5	1	1	0	3
Coen Carr	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

104.7Offensive Efficiency120.3

120.3Defensive Efficiency104.7

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

58.3%Effective FG%60.2%

58.7%True Shooting %61.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.2%

45.8%3-Point Rate14.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.