Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Mississippi State

82.9%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -485

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreLSU 88

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricLSU

44.6MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

113.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.8Net Efficiency4.2

5.0Strength of Schedule4.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

72.3Tempo70.5

51.6%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-4.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.3–113.2), net efficiency (4.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.5).

Final

Mississippi State

70—60

LSU

Mississippi State by 10 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATLSU

23-55FG19-50

42.0%FG%38.0%

6-213PT7-20

29.0%3PT%35.0%

18-27FT15-21

67.0%FT%71.0%

36Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists9

12Turnovers18

10Steals9

2Blocks4

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	35	6-16	3-10	9-10	2	2	2	0	24
Dashawn Davis	Guard	28	4-7	2-4	2-2	1	1	5	0	12
Shakeel Moore	Guard	17	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	34	3-6	0-3	2-3	11	1	1	0	8
Tolu Smith	Forward	30	2-9	0-0	4-6	13	3	0	0	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Cameron Matthews	Forward	30	1-4	0-1	1-6	1	3	1	1	3
KeShawn Murphy	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trae Hannibal	Guard	29	6-8	0-0	6-7	4	1	1	0	18
Hunter Dean	Forward	24	3-4	0-0	4-6	6	1	1	1	10
Tyrell Ward	G	32	3-7	2-5	0-2	4	0	2	0	8
Jordan Wright	Guard	30	2-15	1-8	2-2	8	1	1	1	7
Mike Williams III	G	24	2-9	1-3	2-2	3	4	2	0	7
Will Baker	Forward	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Jalen Reed	F	20	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Derek Fountain	Forward	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency84.0

84.0Defensive Efficiency98.0

14.0Net Efficiency-14.0

47.3%Effective FG%45.0%

51.6%True Shooting %50.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate25.4%

49.1%Free Throw Rate42.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.