San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%San Diego State

42.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -135

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUNLV

60.1MMH Power Index52.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

11.0Net Efficiency1.4

3.8Strength of Schedule2.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

70.8Tempo71.4

53.2%Effective FG%53.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.6%

7.8Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

74—71

UNLV

San Diego State by 3 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUNLV

26-71FG21-52

37.0%FG%40.0%

6-233PT7-19

26.0%3PT%37.0%

16-26FT22-29

62.0%FT%76.0%

50Rebounds31

25Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists9

13Turnovers13

9Steals4

4Blocks7

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	39	11-21	1-1	11-18	16	1	2	1	34
Lamont Butler	Guard	40	5-8	0-1	2-2	3	3	0	1	12
Darrion Trammell	Guard	36	4-9	3-4	0-0	3	5	5	0	11
Jay Pal	Forward	28	4-10	1-4	1-2	9	1	0	0	10
Miles Byrd	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	2	3
Micah Parrish	Guard	30	0-8	0-6	2-4	5	1	1	0	2
Reese Waters	Guard	15	1-7	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Saunders	F	17	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Miles Heide	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	43	10-21	1-5	8-10	0	5	1	0	29
Keylan Boone	Forward	45	5-13	3-8	4-5	8	1	0	4	17
Justin Webster	Guard	18	3-5	3-4	5-6	2	1	1	0	14
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	37	2-7	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	1	6
Karl Jones	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	41	0-3	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	2	2
Shane Nowell	Guard	27	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Brooklyn Hicks	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kalib Boone	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

104.8Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

40.8%Effective FG%47.1%

44.4%True Shooting %54.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

36.6%Free Throw Rate55.8%

32.4%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.