East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.8%East Carolina

96.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -23.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -2532

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 68

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 91

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricSouth Florida

44.3MMH Power Index68.8

102.0Offensive Efficiency117.3

110.5Defensive Efficiency101.6

-8.5Net Efficiency15.7

2.6Strength of Schedule1.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

70.1Tempo74.5

46.7%Effective FG%51.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

40.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–44.3), offensive efficiency (117.3–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.5), net efficiency (15.7–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–1.8).

Final

East Carolina

59—81

South Florida

South Florida by 22 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATSouth Florida

21-58FG30-58

36.0%FG%52.0%

7-233PT14-31

30.0%3PT%45.0%

10-20FT7-14

50.0%FT%50.0%

40Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists18

13Turnovers9

8Steals10

3Blocks8

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Felton	Guard	34	6-16	2-8	2-4	3	2	2	2	16
Brandon Johnson	Forward	38	5-13	4-8	1-2	10	2	0	0	15
Ezra Ausar	F	37	3-8	1-1	7-12	9	3	0	1	14
Bobby Pettiford	Guard	15	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Cam Hayes	Guard	27	2-7	0-2	0-2	2	2	3	0	4
Jaden Walker	Guard	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Cyr Malonga	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Callum Richard	C	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Ben Vungo	G	5	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Valentino Pinedo	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Knox	G	29	6-7	5-6	0-0	6	2	0	0	17
Selton Miguel	Guard	24	6-13	3-9	2-2	2	1	3	0	17
Chris Youngblood	Guard	23	3-6	2-4	2-3	1	1	1	1	10
Kasean Pryor	F	22	4-7	2-4	0-0	10	1	2	2	10
Jose Placer	Guard	22	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	18	3-6	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	1	6
Corey Walker Jr.	Forward	13	3-6	0-0	0-2	1	1	2	1	6
Brandon Stroud	Guard	20	2-4	0-1	0-1	7	8	1	2	4
Daniel Tobiloba	C	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Jayden Reid	G	22	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	2
Nic Smith	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

88.6Offensive Efficiency121.6

121.6Defensive Efficiency88.6

-33.0Net Efficiency33.0

42.2%Effective FG%63.8%

43.7%True Shooting %62.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate13.5%

34.5%Free Throw Rate24.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate53.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

South Florida won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.