Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Middle Tennessee

70.2%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -236

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 74

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricWestern Kentucky

52.5MMH Power Index55.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency106.2

3.9Net Efficiency4.4

0.4Strength of Schedule1.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.8Tempo71.7

52.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.7Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), strength of schedule (1.7–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–106.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.6).

Final

Middle Tennessee

54—85

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 31 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

18-58FG31-64

31.0%FG%48.0%

7-273PT11-22

26.0%3PT%50.0%

11-18FT12-13

61.0%FT%92.0%

35Rebounds44

8Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists9

18Turnovers15

3Steals11

4Blocks2

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	29	4-13	3-7	3-4	5	2	0	0	14
Tre Green	G	19	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	9
Justin Bufford	Guard	32	3-7	1-5	1-2	4	1	1	0	8
Jacob Johnson	Guard	32	4-10	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Chris Loofe	F	14	2-2	2-2	1-2	4	0	0	3	7
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	26	1-6	0-2	3-5	7	2	0	1	5
Jalen Jordan	Guard	22	1-8	0-4	1-3	4	1	1	0	3
Elias King	Guard	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Jubenville	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isiah Lightsy	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	23	8-17	2-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	18
Khristian Lander	Guard	23	5-8	3-6	2-2	4	1	0	0	15
Brandon Newman	Guard	19	4-6	3-3	4-4	1	1	1	1	15
Babacar Faye	F	18	4-5	0-0	3-3	4	2	1	0	11
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	21	2-5	1-1	1-1	3	2	2	0	6
Rodney Howard	Forward	18	3-10	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	1	6
Dontaie Allen	Guard	5	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Enoch Kalambay	G	19	2-2	0-0	0-1	9	0	0	0	4
Teagan Moore	G	22	0-4	0-2	2-2	10	1	1	0	2
BJ Marable	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jack Edelen	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Jaylen Dorsey	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Olden	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

69.8Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency69.8

-40.1Net Efficiency40.1

37.1%Effective FG%57.0%

40.6%True Shooting %60.6%

23.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

31.0%Free Throw Rate20.3%

46.6%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.