Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Colorado State

80.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -418

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNew Mexico

55.4MMH Power Index63.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

109.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

7.2Net Efficiency14.6

0.4Strength of Schedule2.0

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

64.7Tempo70.7

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.6Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

Colorado State

61—74

New Mexico

New Mexico by 13 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

24-70FG28-62

34.0%FG%45.0%

6-283PT5-13

21.0%3PT%38.0%

7-8FT13-16

88.0%FT%81.0%

44Rebounds39

19Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

14Turnovers9

6Steals6

3Blocks9

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Scott	Forward	31	9-16	1-3	1-1	8	1	1	2	20
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	36	5-13	1-5	2-2	3	2	0	0	13
Joe Palmer	Guard	18	3-7	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Patrick Cartier	Forward	25	2-5	0-1	3-3	4	2	0	0	7
Nique Clifford	Guard	26	2-10	1-4	1-2	9	7	1	0	6
Kyan Evans	G	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jalen Lake	Guard	28	1-6	0-5	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Tavi Jackson	G	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Josiah Strong	Guard	18	0-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Rashaan Mbemba	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaelen House	Guard	34	5-12	1-3	8-8	5	8	2	0	19
JT Toppin	F	29	8-12	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	3	16
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	22	3-4	2-2	2-2	2	1	2	3	10
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	29	4-8	0-0	1-2	12	0	0	2	9
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	30	3-11	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Donovan Dent	G	26	3-7	0-0	1-2	1	6	2	1	7
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	23	2-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Tru Washington	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

90.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency90.1

-19.2Net Efficiency19.2

38.6%Effective FG%49.2%

41.3%True Shooting %53.2%

20.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

11.4%Free Throw Rate25.8%

40.0%3-Point Rate21.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.