UMass Lowell

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.6%UMass Lowell

82.4%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -468

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 68

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreVermont 79

Team Comparison

UMass LowellMetricVermont

43.8MMH Power Index53.1

107.9Offensive Efficiency112.2

109.9Defensive Efficiency104.7

-2.0Net Efficiency7.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

69.4Tempo65.4

51.0%Effective FG%54.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

35.1%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-1.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–43.8), offensive efficiency (112.2–107.9), defensive efficiency (104.7–109.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.1–26.8), free throw rate (37.9–32.4).

Final

UMass Lowell

61—66

Vermont

Vermont by 5 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMass LowellTEAM STATVermont

18-46FG21-59

39.0%FG%36.0%

3-103PT8-25

30.0%3PT%32.0%

22-29FT16-21

76.0%FT%76.0%

40Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists12

14Turnovers6

2Steals11

8Blocks4

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Morris III	F	35	5-9	0-2	7-10	10	1	0	2	17
Brayden O'Connor	G	38	4-10	1-3	5-5	6	1	0	1	14
Ayinde Hikim	Guard	38	4-12	1-2	2-4	6	3	2	2	11
Quinton Mincey	Guard	35	2-5	1-1	2-2	5	2	0	1	7
Yuri Covington	Guard	28	2-5	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	1	7
Max Brooks	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	3
Anthony Blunt	Guard	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Xzavier Lino	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shamir Bogues	Guard	33	5-13	0-1	5-7	9	3	4	0	15
TJ Long	G	24	5-11	4-10	0-0	3	3	0	0	14
Aaron Deloney	Guard	33	2-11	1-5	7-8	1	0	2	0	12
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	33	3-8	2-3	3-5	4	1	1	0	11
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	36	4-10	1-5	0-0	5	4	2	3	9
TJ Hurley	G	13	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Jace Roquemore	Guard	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Sam Alamutu	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

95.5Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency95.5

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

42.4%Effective FG%42.4%

51.0%True Shooting %47.8%

22.0%Turnover Rate9.4%

63.0%Free Throw Rate35.6%

21.7%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Vermont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.