Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.2%Oregon

71.8%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -255

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreColorado 81

Team Comparison

OregonMetricColorado

48.9MMH Power Index52.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency112.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

-4.3Net Efficiency0.5

6.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

66.7Tempo71.0

49.9%Effective FG%53.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.9%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–48.9), offensive efficiency (112.9–106.4), net efficiency (0.5–-4.3), shooting efficiency (53.0–49.9).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–112.4), strength of schedule (6.0–5.1), recent form (-6.7–-7.7).

Final

Oregon

75—68

Colorado

Oregon by 7 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATColorado

28-61FG20-48

46.0%FG%42.0%

2-173PT7-22

12.0%3PT%32.0%

17-24FT21-23

71.0%FT%91.0%

31Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists16

3Turnovers13

9Steals1

1Blocks—

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
N'Faly Dante	Center	32	12-12	0-0	1-1	9	1	3	1	25
Jackson Shelstad	G	37	4-12	1-4	8-10	5	1	0	0	17
Jermaine Couisnard	Guard	25	5-18	0-5	4-5	3	8	2	0	14
Jadrian Tracey	G	37	3-6	1-2	1-2	3	1	2	0	8
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	25	1-4	0-2	2-4	3	1	1	0	4
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Kario Oquendo	Guard	20	1-5	0-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	3
Mahamadou Diawara	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
KJ Simpson	Guard	39	6-12	3-8	8-8	6	4	1	23
Luke O'Brien	Forward	26	3-9	3-6	2-2	4	1	0	11
Tristan da Silva	Forward	32	3-10	1-4	2-2	3	5	0	9
Cody Williams	Forward	23	3-6	0-1	3-3	5	1	0	9
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	1-3	0-1	5-6	7	2	0	7
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	30	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	7
Bangot Dak	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	2
Javon Ruffin	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

113.3Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency113.3

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

47.5%Effective FG%49.0%

51.8%True Shooting %57.7%

4.5%Turnover Rate19.7%

39.3%Free Throw Rate47.9%

27.9%3-Point Rate45.8%

4.67Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Oregon won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.