Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Long Beach State

79.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -376

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 73

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricUC Davis

41.1MMH Power Index48.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

-4.0Net Efficiency3.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.2Tempo72.4

51.5%Effective FG%52.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-2.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

Long Beach State

74—70

UC Davis

Long Beach State by 4 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATUC Davis

27-70FG25-64

39.0%FG%39.0%

6-183PT6-25

33.0%3PT%24.0%

14-16FT14-15

88.0%FT%93.0%

42Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists13

5Turnovers9

6Steals4

3Blocks4

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lassina Traore	F	38	12-17	0-0	1-1	9	1	1	0	25
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	36	8-21	4-9	5-6	3	4	2	0	25
AJ George	G	32	4-10	1-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	9
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	35	1-8	0-0	5-6	13	6	1	0	7
Jadon Jones	G	37	1-6	1-4	3-3	6	1	2	3	6
Messiah Thompson	Guard	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Amari Stroud	Forward	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isa Silva	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	39	13-28	2-9	2-2	6	4	1	1	30
Elijah Pepper	Guard	36	7-21	4-11	3-4	9	3	0	0	21
Kane Milling	Guard	35	2-8	0-4	3-3	6	2	0	1	7
Ade Adebayo	Forward	20	1-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	1	1	6
Niko Rocak	F	19	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	2
Pablo Tamba	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Francesco Borra	Forward	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	0
Sione Lose	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency107.4

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

42.9%Effective FG%43.8%

47.7%True Shooting %49.2%

7.3%Turnover Rate13.0%

22.9%Free Throw Rate23.4%

25.7%3-Point Rate39.1%

2.60Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.