South Florida

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.9%South Florida

31.1%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -222

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 85

Projected Total165.8

Projected ScoreUCF 80

Team Comparison

South FloridaMetricUCF

68.8MMH Power Index57.1

117.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

15.7Net Efficiency3.3

1.8Strength of Schedule6.6

19.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

74.5Tempo71.2

51.0%Effective FG%53.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

38.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

11.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–57.1), offensive efficiency (117.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (15.7–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–51.0).

Final

South Florida

83—77

UCF

South Florida by 6 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South FloridaTEAM STATUCF

24-48FG28-64

50.0%FG%44.0%

13-243PT9-25

54.0%3PT%36.0%

22-28FT12-23

79.0%FT%52.0%

34Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists6

17Turnovers13

5Steals8

2Blocks1

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Selton Miguel	Guard	32	5-11	4-8	5-6	2	1	1	0	19
Kasean Pryor	F	29	5-12	3-6	4-4	8	0	0	0	17
Jose Placer	Guard	23	5-6	3-4	1-2	0	2	0	0	14
Jayden Reid	G	16	2-4	2-3	4-4	0	1	1	0	10
Chris Youngblood	Guard	31	3-7	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	1	9
Corey Walker Jr.	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	1	6
Brandon Stroud	Guard	27	2-3	0-0	1-2	9	3	1	0	5
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	12	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Kobe Knox	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-2	4	0	1	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	38	8-18	3-8	5-6	6	0	2	0	24
Marchelus Avery	Forward	27	7-15	3-7	2-2	9	1	4	0	19
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	4-11	2-7	4-7	4	4	0	0	14
Omar Payne	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	1-3	7	0	1	1	5
Thierno Sylla	C	20	2-4	1-2	0-2	3	0	0	0	5
Shemarri Allen	Guard	36	2-8	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	4
Antwann Jones	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

112.0Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

63.5%Effective FG%50.8%

67.7%True Shooting %51.4%

22.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

58.3%Free Throw Rate35.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.59Assist / Turnover0.46

Game Summary

South Florida won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.