App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%App State

70.8%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -242

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreWake Forest 77

Team Comparison

App StateMetricWake Forest

54.2MMH Power Index57.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.7

9.2Net Efficiency2.7

-4.2Strength of Schedule7.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

64.9Tempo70.2

51.1%Effective FG%52.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.1%

6.0Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.7–109.7), net efficiency (9.2–2.7), recent form (7.0–-0.1), ball security (15.2–15.5).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.6–54.2), offensive efficiency (112.4–110.9), strength of schedule (7.2–-4.2).

Final

App State

76—87

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 11 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATWake Forest

31-67FG28-58

46.0%FG%48.0%

7-273PT6-18

26.0%3PT%33.0%

7-8FT25-31

88.0%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists9

10Turnovers9

4Steals3

4Blocks6

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	23	7-10	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	1	16
Terence Harcum	Guard	37	5-16	4-11	0-0	3	3	0	0	14
Tre'Von Spillers	F	24	5-7	0-0	2-2	10	0	1	1	12
Donovan Gregory	Forward	33	3-8	0-2	4-5	3	2	0	0	10
Myles Tate	Guard	25	4-11	1-6	1-1	2	5	2	0	10
Jordan Marsh	G	11	4-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Justin Abson	F	32	2-5	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	1	4
Christopher Mantis	Forward	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Xavion Brown	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boopie Miller	G	34	9-14	3-5	10-10	2	3	2	0	31
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	35	6-13	1-2	6-9	3	0	0	1	19
Efton Reid III	Forward	26	6-9	1-2	4-6	12	3	0	0	17
Hunter Sallis	Guard	40	5-16	1-6	5-5	2	2	1	2	16
Andrew Carr	Forward	38	2-4	0-1	0-1	11	1	0	3	4
Zach Keller	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Parker Friedrichsen	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Matthew Marsh	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

104.4Offensive Efficiency119.5

119.5Defensive Efficiency104.4

-15.1Net Efficiency15.1

51.5%Effective FG%53.4%

53.7%True Shooting %59.8%

13.6%Turnover Rate12.5%

11.9%Free Throw Rate53.4%

40.3%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.