San Francisco

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%San Francisco

85.6%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -594

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 66

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreCincinnati 78

Team Comparison

San FranciscoMetricCincinnati

50.1MMH Power Index61.5

110.4Offensive Efficiency105.3

108.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

2.2Net Efficiency8.0

1.4Strength of Schedule5.1

-8.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

67.6Tempo69.4

51.9%Effective FG%50.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

40.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.5Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–50.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–108.2), net efficiency (8.0–2.2), strength of schedule (5.1–1.4).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.4–105.3), shooting efficiency (51.9–50.6), ball security (16.1–17.0).

Final

San Francisco

72—73

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 1 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San FranciscoTEAM STATCincinnati

28-66FG26-66

42.0%FG%39.0%

9-223PT11-30

41.0%3PT%37.0%

7-11FT10-14

64.0%FT%71.0%

40Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds11

20Assists16

13Turnovers13

7Steals3

3Blocks5

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	37	11-19	5-7	4-4	5	0	0	0	31
Ndewedo Newbury	F	43	6-12	1-5	0-1	7	3	1	2	13
Marcus Williams	Guard	39	3-11	2-6	2-4	5	7	1	0	10
Jonathan Mogbo	Forward	34	5-13	0-0	0-0	10	7	2	1	10
Robby Beasley	Guard	31	1-5	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Mike Sharavjamts	G	25	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	3	0	3
Volodymyr Markovetskyy	Center	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Justin Bieker	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	37	9-15	8-10	2-2	0	2	0	1	28
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	36	7-15	1-3	1-1	8	0	0	1	16
Jizzle James	G	25	5-13	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Day Day Thomas	G	34	2-7	1-5	2-2	5	8	2	0	7
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	29	2-3	0-0	2-5	6	1	0	3	6
Josh Reed	F	11	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
John Newman III	Forward	35	0-10	0-5	0-0	9	3	0	0	0
Viktor Lakhin	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

96.0Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

49.2%Effective FG%47.7%

50.5%True Shooting %50.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

16.7%Free Throw Rate21.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.54Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.