VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%VCU

45.2%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -121

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 77

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 76

Team Comparison

VCUMetricVillanova

65.7MMH Power Index59.4

116.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

103.3Defensive Efficiency105.9

13.1Net Efficiency8.8

5.4Strength of Schedule4.4

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

69.5Tempo67.3

53.7%Effective FG%53.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

9.1Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.9), net efficiency (13.1–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.9–53.7), ball security (15.0–15.1), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.7).

Final

VCU

70—61

Villanova

VCU by 9 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATVillanova

23-54FG21-51

43.0%FG%41.0%

11-303PT6-23

37.0%3PT%26.0%

13-16FT13-20

81.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists11

12Turnovers13

7Steals8

4Blocks—

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Bamisile	Guard	27	6-9	2-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	17
Max Shulga	Guard	30	3-9	2-5	2-2	3	6	0	1	10
Alphonzo Billups III	G	13	3-7	3-6	0-0	0	0	2	0	9
Zeb Jackson	Guard	27	2-9	2-7	2-3	4	4	1	0	8
Tobi Lawal	F	22	2-5	0-0	4-4	10	0	2	0	8
Kuany Kuany	Guard	19	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Michael Belle	F	17	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Sean Bairstow	Guard	26	1-4	0-2	0-1	7	3	0	0	2
Jason Nelson	G	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Christian Fermin	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	7-14	0-2	7-10	13	0	3	21
TJ Bamba	Guard	36	4-7	1-3	3-4	3	1	0	12
Mark Armstrong	Guard	37	3-10	1-4	3-4	2	5	2	10
Brendan Hausen	G	22	3-8	3-8	0-0	1	1	2	9
Tyler Burton	Forward	17	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	4
Hakim Hart	Guard	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	3
Justin Moore	Guard	26	1-7	0-3	0-0	6	0	0	2
Lance Ware	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

102.8Offensive Efficiency89.6

89.6Defensive Efficiency102.8

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

52.8%Effective FG%47.1%

56.8%True Shooting %50.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

29.6%Free Throw Rate39.2%

55.6%3-Point Rate45.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

VCU won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.