Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Abilene Christian

68.0%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -212

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 70

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 76

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricTarleton State

42.4MMH Power Index44.6

101.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.0Net Efficiency1.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.6Tempo72.2

48.9%Effective FG%49.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

-2.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Abilene Christian

59—86

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 27 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATTarleton State

22-55FG34-65

40.0%FG%52.0%

7-213PT9-24

33.0%3PT%38.0%

8-11FT9-13

73.0%FT%69.0%

31Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists23

16Turnovers7

4Steals11

2Blocks3

12Fouls9

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	26	6-8	0-0	2-2	8	2	0	0	14
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	25	4-10	1-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	11
Yaniel Rivera	G	16	3-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Cameron Steele	Forward	23	2-7	2-6	1-2	6	1	0	1	7
Muodubem Muoneke	Guard	11	3-7	0-1	0-1	3	0	0	1	6
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	31	1-7	1-6	2-2	2	3	0	0	5
JV Seat	Guard	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Colby Tanner	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Kavion McClain	F	26	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	3	0	2
Airion Simmons	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	26	7-11	0-0	2-3	4	1	2	1	16
Traivar Jackson	F	24	6-9	0-1	2-2	0	2	2	0	14
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	23	4-8	2-5	0-0	8	6	0	0	10
Devon Barnes	G	22	2-6	1-4	5-5	3	1	2	0	10
Lue Williams	Guard	29	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Dario Domingos	F	10	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	2	8
Jakorie Smith	Forward	19	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	4	2	0	7
Bubu Benjamin	G	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Izzy Miles	G	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Nasan Ayala	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	0-3	1	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

85.9Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency85.9

-39.3Net Efficiency39.3

46.4%Effective FG%59.2%

49.0%True Shooting %60.4%

23.1%Turnover Rate10.3%

20.0%Free Throw Rate20.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.63Assist / Turnover3.29

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.