Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.0%Arkansas State

27.0%Bethune-Cookman

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -270

Bethune-Cookman

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreBethune-Cookman 77

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricBethune-Cookman

57.7MMH Power Index44.2

113.1Offensive Efficiency104.7

105.3Defensive Efficiency106.9

7.8Net Efficiency-2.2

-1.0Strength of Schedule-3.3

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

73.3Tempo72.0

52.7%Effective FG%51.9%

19.4%Turnover Rate19.2%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.9%

5.8Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–44.2), offensive efficiency (113.1–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.3–106.9), net efficiency (7.8–-2.2).

Bethune-Cookman COUNTERS WITHball security (19.2–19.4), free throw rate (41.9–39.6).

Final

Arkansas State

86—85

Bethune-Cookman

Arkansas State by 1 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATBethune-Cookman

30-57FG35-72

53.0%FG%49.0%

3-123PT5-12

25.0%3PT%42.0%

23-37FT10-14

62.0%FT%71.0%

41Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists12

15Turnovers6

3Steals9

7Blocks5

13Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	37	8-15	0-2	5-9	9	2	0	0	21
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	4-9	0-0	8-12	6	6	0	0	16
Izaiyah Nelson	F	37	5-6	0-0	2-6	8	2	2	5	12
Derrian Ford	G	33	4-11	1-4	3-5	6	0	0	0	12
Taryn Todd	Guard	16	4-5	1-1	1-1	1	2	0	2	10
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	18	3-6	1-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	9
Julian Lual	Guard	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Avery Felts	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Zane Butler	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Bethune-Cookman

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakobi Heady	G	34	8-14	0-1	3-6	5	2	1	0	19
Derrick Carter-Hollinger Jr.	Forward	28	6-8	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	15
Dhashon Dyson	Guard	35	6-19	2-4	0-0	2	0	3	0	14
Zion Harmon	Guard	28	4-13	1-4	2-2	2	4	1	0	11
Reggie Ward Jr.	F	30	4-8	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	9
Elijah Hulsewe	C	10	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Seneca Willoughby	G	6	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
James Henderson Jr.	Center	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	4
Damani McEntire	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

112.9Offensive Efficiency111.5

111.5Defensive Efficiency112.9

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

55.3%Effective FG%52.1%

57.7%True Shooting %54.0%

19.6%Turnover Rate7.9%

64.9%Free Throw Rate19.4%

21.1%3-Point Rate16.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.