Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Minnesota

45.7%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -119

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 72

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricIndiana State

50.5MMH Power Index44.4

109.1Offensive Efficiency104.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency106.0

1.4Net Efficiency-1.3

3.2Strength of Schedule0.1

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

63.6Tempo70.3

54.1%Effective FG%53.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.9Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.1–104.7), net efficiency (1.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.2–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–107.7), recent form (-5.2–-6.6), offensive rebounding (27.3–26.5).

Final

Minnesota

64—76

Indiana State

Indiana State by 12 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATIndiana State

25-56FG27-56

45.0%FG%48.0%

6-173PT8-30

35.0%3PT%27.0%

8-15FT14-18

53.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists20

15Turnovers10

7Steals8

2Blocks3

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pharrel Payne	F	33	7-13	0-0	2-3	8	3	1	0	16
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	38	5-11	3-7	0-0	2	2	2	0	13
Cam Christie	Guard	35	5-13	1-5	1-2	5	1	1	0	12
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	22	3-7	2-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	10
Dawson Garcia	Forward	28	2-5	0-0	2-2	12	0	0	2	6
Parker Fox	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	1-6	0	0	1	0	5
Braeden Carrington	G	25	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	38	7-11	6-8	3-3	2	5	1	1	23
Jayson Kent	Forward	37	5-9	1-4	5-7	11	0	1	2	16
Julian Larry	Guard	37	7-9	0-1	2-2	4	4	3	0	16
Robbie Avila	C	36	3-9	1-6	4-6	3	7	0	0	11
Isaiah Swope	Guard	26	4-12	0-8	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Xavier Bledson	Guard	18	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Derek Vorst	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jake Wolfe	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

92.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency92.9

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

50.0%Effective FG%55.4%

50.7%True Shooting %58.9%

22.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

26.8%Free Throw Rate32.1%

30.4%3-Point Rate53.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.